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Under the background that the "Brexit" plan proposed by British Prime Minister Theresa May was rejected by the European Union, the two major British political parties did not propose a more attractive new proposal for "Brexit". On the one hand, there has been a serious split within the Conservative Party surrounding the "Brexit" plan proposed by Theresa May; on the other hand, the Labour Party has seized the domestic dissatisfaction with the "Brexit" chaos and plans to promote early elections and target "Brexit". The "Second Referendum" on Brexit. At a time point less than six months before Britain officially leaves the European Union, the form of Britain's "Brexit" has become a huge unknown.

Serious divisions within the Conservative Party

 　 British public opinion said that this year the Labour Party and the Conservative Party’s annual meeting will evolve into a "meshed war" on Brexit. The annual meeting of the Conservative Party ended on October 3, and the slogan of the annual meeting was "opportunity." The British "Mirror" commented on this that the slogan of this year's Conservative Party Conference was similar to that of 2015. The slogan of the year was "Security, Stability, and Opportunity", but this year, "Security" and "Stable" were removed, which also implies that The twists and turns of the "Brexit" process may cost Britain.

 　 At the informal EU summit closed in Austria on September 20, European Council President Tusk said that the economic cooperation framework proposed by the "Chequers Plan" proposed by the United Kingdom would not work because it would undermine the EU's single market rules. This statement of the EU is in fact tantamount to vetoing May's "Brexit" plan.

 At the annual meeting of the Conservative Party, although Teresa May did not mention the term "Chequers Plan" again, she still emphasized the "Leave the EU Single Market and Customs Union" and "ensure barrier-free access" in its plan. The two principles of "trade". She said that if a "Brexit" agreement is reached with the EU, it must be an agreement that is beneficial to Britain. Although a "hard Brexit" will hurt both Britain and Europe, the United Kingdom is not afraid of this result. "Hard Brexit" refers to the fact that the UK cannot reach a "Brexit" agreement with the EU to leave the EU.

 　 However, Theresa May’s persistence has not been unanimously approved by the party. On the contrary, the Conservative Party Conference has evolved into a fierce dispute between members of the "previous cabinet" and "current cabinet" in the UK. Members of the Conservative Party, represented by the former British Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson, openly opposed the "Chequers Plan", believing that this plan is "not in the interests of the United Kingdom". Johnson even threw out his own "Brexit" plan. The "Chequers Project" was in a court of resistance. British public opinion widely believes that Johnson is ready to fight for the leadership of the Conservative Party. David Davis, the former British Minister of "Brexit" affairs, also stated that Theresa May had made mistakes in the negotiation strategy and that the "Chequers Plan" should be abandoned as soon as possible.

 　 At the same time, current cabinet members such as Liam Fox, Minister of International Trade, and Said Javid, Minister of the Interior, firmly support the Prime Minister and call for unity within the party and the outside world. British Foreign Secretary Jeremy Hunt said: "Now is the time for us to unite. Only if we unite first can the Conservative Party unite the entire country. Separation will not make Britain a better'Brexit', but will Make the result worse.” Javid also announced a new policy for EU immigrants, stating that the UK will withdraw the right of EU citizens to enter and leave the UK freely after Brexit. At the same time, it will not give priority to granting EU low-skilled labor entry visas. Put pressure on the EU.

 In view of the fact that the "Chequers Plan" has been rejected by the European Union, British public opinion thought that the Conservative Party would use this conference to throw a new "Brexit" plan, but Theresa May did not give a new plan, which made many It is believed that the current British government has gradually lost control of the "Brexit" process.

"Hard Brexit" will pay a heavy price

 　 It seems that the possibility of a "hard Brexit" is increasing. If the "Brexit" negotiations cannot be completed by November this year, the trade exchanges between Britain and Europe will have to be retreated under the framework of the World Trade Organization. This is not good news for Britain and Europe, which are important trading partners for each other. Trade costs are expected to increase.

 　 When the two parties in the UK were caught in partisan disputes and internal conflicts, the EU threw out a new "Brexit" plan for the UK. Based on the free trade agreement reached with Canada not long ago, the European Union proposed a plan called "Super Canada" or "Canada+". The European Union believes that a similar trade agreement with Canada can be reached between it and the United Kingdom. This is a more feasible plan at present.

 　The "Super Canada" project has won the support of Boris Johnson and others, and has also become a weapon used by some members of the Conservative Party against Theresa May. Johnson said that the "Chequers Project" was "disastrous" and the "Super Canada" project was the "right choice." However, there is a huge difference between Britain and Canada in terms of trade with the European Union. The British Broadcasting Corporation said that only 10% of Canada's foreign trade is with the European Union, and the composition is relatively simple, while the United Kingdom has as many as 43%. The field involves many aspects such as finance and services. The European Union is also Britain's largest trading partner. Therefore, it is much more complicated for Britain to reach a comprehensive economic and trade agreement similar to Canada with the European Union.

 　 The British media generally believe that the essence of the differences between the United Kingdom and the European Union lies in the border issue of Northern Ireland. Tusk has repeatedly stated that whether the European Union and the United Kingdom can reach an agreement on a "Brexit" agreement, the key issue is that the British government should abandon its "obsession" on the border issue of Northern Ireland, but the British government has repeatedly emphasized that it is not allowed to allow Northern Ireland. It is the "red line" of the United Kingdom that it implements double standards in tariffs and other aspects of the United Kingdom. Under this stalemate, if both parties are unable to propose innovative solutions to the border issue, a "hard Brexit" will become inevitable.